Home Events Men's T20 World Cup Ready reckoner: Group B permutations & possibilities

Ready reckoner: Group B permutations & possibilities

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Firstly, here’s the Group B table after Day 9:

GROUP B
TEAM MWLPTNRR
Ireland*64281.591
Oman*54181.388
UAE53260.656
Canada53260.433
Jersey5234-0.039
Hong Kong5234-0.383
Nigeria5050-4.326

And here is the chat with Peter Della Penna between Abu Dhabi & Dubai:

Ireland has played their six group matches, and have secured their playoff spot and are currently on equal on points with Oman but ahead on NRR.

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The remaining six group sides all play their finals games tomorrow in Abu Dhabi:

Hong Kong v Nigeria (10h00) at Tolerance Oval / ADC 1 (not televised);
Oman v Jersey (14h10) &
UAE v Canada (19h30) at Zayed Cricket Stadium (both TV games).

So, what are the possibilities and permutations for Group B?

If Oman wins (by any margin) over Jersey, they will top the group and book their ticket to Australia.

For Jersey to be a chance they need to defeat Oman, and hope whoever wins between Canada & UAE does so by a huge margin to try and bring the loser’s NRR down so they can sneak past.

The winner between Canada and UAE is guaranteed a playoff spot. The loser, has to hope their NRR does not drop below either Hong Kong’s or Jersey’s, as either team could overtake them for fourth spot. (A stupendously large victory to either side could also bring them in sight of Ireland’s NRR, too, but highly unlikely)

Hong Kong needs to defeat Nigeria as heavily as possible to bring their NRR up from -0.383. Similar to Jersey, they need the loser of Canada & UAE to have an as-heavy loss as possible, to make up the 1.039 (UAE) or 0.816 (Canada).

After losing their first five, Nigeria’s will only be playing for pride against Hong Kong at Tolerance Oval, in Sunday’s morning game

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Tim Cutler
Former CEO of Cricket Hong Kong and self-confessed emerging cricket nerd, Tim is a tenacious advocate for the growth of the sport and is a pundit, commentator and writer on cricket’s emerging world especially on events, strategy and funding.

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